Forecastic

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?

If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 18% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $386K. 24-hour volume: $25. Market closes January 1, 2027.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?

18%
Before Jan 1, 2027
YES—
NO—
24h vol$25
Open interest$143K
Resolution Rules

If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Forecastic Analysis

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