Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 83% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $3.3M. 24-hour volume: $489K. Market closes October 28, 2026.
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?
Resolution Rules
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The outcomes are mutually exclusive: at most one can resolve to Yes. For example, a 50-basis-point hike resolves “Hike 25 bps” to Yes and “Hike 25 bps” to No. If the scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, “Fed maintains rate” resolves to Yes and all other outcomes resolve to No.
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