Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress?
If the Democratic Party has above 52 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 36% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $1.3M. 24-hour volume: $88K. Market closes February 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Feb 1
Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress?
36%
Yes
YES38¢
NO63¢
24h vol$88K
Open interest$762K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If the Democratic Party has above 52 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).
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