Forecastic

Will the difference between the number of Republican governors and the number of Democratic governors be between -50 and -1 governors after the 2026 midterms?

If Democrats hold more governorships than Republicans after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 68% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $219K. 24-hour volume: $836. Market closes January 1, 2027.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will the difference between the number of Republican governors and the number of Democratic governors be between -50 and -1 governors after the 2026 midterms?

68%
Yes
YES74¢
NO27¢
24h vol$836
Open interest$30K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Democrats hold more governorships than Republicans after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

For the purposes of this Contract, the total number of governorships held by a party is calculated by counting (i) uncontested governorships (those without a scheduled election in 2026) plus (ii) contested governorships won by that party's candidate as determined under the resolution criteria of the ELECTION contract, including the accelerated provision.

Forecastic Analysis
Will the difference between the number of Republican governors and the number of Democratic governors be between -50 and -1 governors after the 2026 midterms? (68% odds) | Forecastic