Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
If the Democratic Party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 62% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $6.4M. 24-hour volume: $125K. Market closes February 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Feb 1
Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
62%
Yes
YES64¢
NO37¢
24h vol$125K
Open interest$3.3M
Resolution Rules
Primary
If the Democratic Party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. Senate. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the President pro tempore of the Senate on February 1, 2027.
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