Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?
If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the crypto category. Currently priced at 6% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $390K. 24-hour volume: $15K. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
cryptoKalshiCloses Jan 1
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?
6%
Yes
YES5¢
NO96¢
24h vol$15K
Open interest$143K
Resolution Rules
If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.
Sign in to get a grounded three-sentence read of this market.