Forecastic

Will Jacob Elordi be the next James Bond?

If Jacob Elordi is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the entertainment category. Currently priced at 7% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $342K. 24-hour volume: $962. Market closes January 1, 2030.

entertainmentKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will Jacob Elordi be the next James Bond?

7%
Yes
YES7¢
NO95¢
24h vol$962
Open interest$126K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Jacob Elordi is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.

Forecastic Analysis

Sign in to get a grounded three-sentence read of this market.