Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf
This is a polymarket prediction market in the world category. Currently priced at 28% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $48K. 24-hour volume: $3K. Market closes November 4, 2026.
Updated Trade on Polymarket
worldPolymarketCloses Nov 4
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
28%
Yes▼ 1pp
YES34¢
NO69¢
24h vol$3K
Liquidity$32K
Resolution Rules
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf
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