Forecastic

Will Democratic win the House race for IA-1?

If the House member sworn in for IA-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 88% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $209K. 24-hour volume: $7K. Market closes November 3, 2027.

politicsKalshiCloses Nov 3

Will Democratic win the House race for IA-1?

88%
Yes
YES92¢
NO8¢
24h vol$7K
Open interest$71K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If the House member sworn in for IA-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Forecastic Analysis

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