Forecastic

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the technology category. Currently priced at 14% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $46K. 24-hour volume: $1. Market closes January 1, 2027.

technologyKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

14%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$1
Open interest$13K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Rwanda — a citizen of Rwanda diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Rwanda do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.

Forecastic Analysis

Sign in to get a grounded three-sentence read of this market.