Forecastic

Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before Jan 2027?

If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 11% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $190K. 24-hour volume: $1K. Market closes January 1, 2027.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before Jan 2027?

11%
Yes
YES6¢
NO95¢
24h vol$1K
Open interest$83K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.

Forecastic Analysis

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