Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027?
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 46% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $1.6M. 24-hour volume: $570. Market closes July 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Jul 1
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027?
46%
Yes▼ 2pp
YES32¢
NO69¢
24h vol$570
Open interest$413K
Resolution Rules
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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