Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000 by Dec 31, 2026?
If BTC reaches $50,000 before reaching $100,000 between Issuance and 11:59 PM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the crypto category. Currently priced at 8% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $2.4M. 24-hour volume: $127K. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000 by Dec 31, 2026?
Resolution Rules
If BTC reaches $50,000 before reaching $100,000 between Issuance and 11:59 PM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market tracks whether the cryptocurrency price reaches the first threshold before the second threshold. "Reaches" means the price touches or falls below $50,000 (the lower threshold) OR touches or rises above $100,000 (the upper threshold). The first threshold reached determines the outcome. Price is measured using the CF Real-Time Index, taking a simple average over any 60-second period. If $50,000 is reached first, the market resolves to Yes. If $100,000 is reached first, the market resolves to No. If neither threshold is reached by the deadline, the market resolves to No. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No.
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