Forecastic

Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 68% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $87K. 24-hour volume: $14. Market closes January 17, 2027.

politicsPolymarketCloses Jan 17

Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

68%
Yes▼ 2pp
YES—
NO—
24h vol$14
Liquidity$60K
Resolution Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).

Forecastic Analysis

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