Forecastic

Macron out by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the world category. Currently priced at 5% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $91K. 24-hour volume: $2K. Market closes January 1, 2027.

worldPolymarketCloses Jan 1

Macron out by December 31, 2026?

5%
Yes▲ 0pp
YES4¢
NO97¢
24h vol$2K
Liquidity$60K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Forecastic Analysis

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