Forecastic

Will Bitcoin be above $139,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $139999.99 starting 01/01/2026 12:00 AM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the crypto category. Currently priced at 5% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $329K. Market closes January 1, 2027.

cryptoKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will Bitcoin be above $139,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

5%
Yes
YES3¢
NO98¢
24h vol$0
Open interest$95K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $139999.99 starting 01/01/2026 12:00 AM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Forecastic Analysis

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