Will the Democratic Party hold 51 seats in the 120th Congress?
If the Democratic Party has exactly 51 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 13% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $286K. 24-hour volume: $31K. Market closes February 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Feb 1
Will the Democratic Party hold 51 seats in the 120th Congress?
13%
Yes
YES11¢
NO90¢
24h vol$31K
Open interest$230K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If the Democratic Party has exactly 51 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).
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