Red wave in 2026?
If ALL of the following occur for the 2026 midterms: U.S. House: Republicans win 220 or more seats, U.S. Senate: Republicans hold 55 or more seats, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 7% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $49K. 24-hour volume: $10K. Market closes February 1, 2027.
Red wave in 2026?
Resolution Rules
If ALL of the following occur for the 2026 midterms: U.S. House: Republicans win 220 or more seats, U.S. Senate: Republicans hold 55 or more seats, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: U.S. House (SEATSCONGRESS), U.S. Senate (SEATSCONGRESS).
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