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Will President Trump resign before his term is up?

If the President of the United States elected for the 2025-2029 term resigns the office, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 22% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $488K. 24-hour volume: $2K. Market closes January 21, 2029.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 21

Will President Trump resign before his term is up?

22%
Yes
YES23¢
NO78¢
24h vol$2K
Open interest$167K
Resolution Rules

If the President of the United States elected for the 2025-2029 term resigns the office, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Will President Trump resign before his term is up? (22% odds) | Forecastic