Forecastic

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?

If a major meteor (10 kilotons TNT equivalent or greater) hits Earth before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the technology category. Currently priced at 47% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $144K. 24-hour volume: $106. Market closes January 1, 2030.

technologyKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?

47%
Yes
YES54¢
NO47¢
24h vol$106
Open interest$35K
Resolution Rules

If a major meteor (10 kilotons TNT equivalent or greater) hits Earth before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Forecastic Analysis

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