Forecastic

Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Jan 2027?

If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 37% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $499K. 24-hour volume: $416. Market closes January 1, 2027.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Jan 2027?

37%
Yes
YES30¢
NO71¢
24h vol$416
Open interest$314K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

For purposes of this Contract, "publicly criticize" means Donald Trump must: Make a statement that explicitly expresses disapproval, negative judgment, or unfavorable assessment of Kevin Warsh The criticism must be directed at Kevin Warsh by name, title, or clear contextual reference that a reasonable observer would understand refers to Kevin Warsh in a clear and unambiguous manner The statement must be negative in substance, not merely mentioning Kevin Warsh in a neutral or positive context Criticism must be made by Trump personally, not through official statements that don't quote him directly.

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