Forecastic

Will JFET leave the John Fetterman?

If John Fetterman leaves or announces that they are leaving the Democratic party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 10% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $60K. 24-hour volume: $434. Market closes January 1, 2027.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will JFET leave the John Fetterman?

10%
Yes
YES15¢
NO89¢
24h vol$434
Open interest$25K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If John Fetterman leaves or announces that they are leaving the Democratic party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

If John Fetterman changes their official party registration from Democratic to another party or to independent/unaffiliated status, or announces they are no longer a member of the Democratic party, or is expelled from the Democratic party by official party action, then the market will resolve to Yes.

Forecastic Analysis

Sign in to get a grounded three-sentence read of this market.