Will Clarence Thomas resign during Trump's term?
If Clarence Thomas resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 56% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $45K. 24-hour volume: $9K. Market closes January 20, 2029.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Jan 20
Will Clarence Thomas resign during Trump's term?
56%
Yes
YES58¢
NO47¢
24h vol$9K
Open interest$11K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If Clarence Thomas resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Death is not resignation and will not resolve a market to Yes.
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