Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 4% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $1.8M. 24-hour volume: $4K. Market closes November 1, 2026.