Forecastic

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the world category. Currently priced at 12% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $289K. 24-hour volume: $35. Market closes January 1, 2027.

worldPolymarketCloses Jan 1

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

12%
Yes▲ 4pp
YES—
NO—
24h vol$35
Liquidity$17K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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