Forecastic

Will a Democrat win the House race for NY-3?

If the House member sworn in for NY-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 89% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $61K. 24-hour volume: $135. Market closes November 3, 2027.

politicsKalshiCloses Nov 3

Will a Democrat win the House race for NY-3?

89%
Yes
YES90¢
NO10¢
24h vol$135
Open interest$55K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If the House member sworn in for NY-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Forecastic Analysis

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