More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
If the total number of layoffs and discharges in the Professional and Business Services sector during calendar year 2026 is greater than 5,497,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 43% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $61K. Market closes March 1, 2027.
More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Resolution Rules
If the total number of layoffs and discharges in the Professional and Business Services sector during calendar year 2026 is greater than 5,497,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will use FRED series JTU540099LDL, “Layoffs and Discharges: Total Nonfarm: Professional and Business Services, Level in Thousands, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted."
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