Forecastic

Kash Patel out by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 20% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $433K. 24-hour volume: $665. Market closes January 1, 2027.

politicsPolymarketCloses Jan 1

Kash Patel out by December 31?

20%
Yes▲ 2pp
YES19¢
NO82¢
24h vol$665
Liquidity$13K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Forecastic Analysis

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