Will Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?
If Israel and Lebanon normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 3% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $67K. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Jan 1
Will Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Yes
YES5¢
NO97¢
24h vol$0
Open interest$30K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If Israel and Lebanon normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The agreement must be ratified before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion.