Forecastic

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the world category. Currently priced at 14% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $123K. 24-hour volume: $1. Market closes January 1, 2027.

worldPolymarketCloses Jan 1

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

14%
Yes▼ 1pp
YES—
NO—
24h vol$1
Liquidity$991
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Forecastic Analysis
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? (14% odds) | Forecastic