Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 4% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $142K. 24-hour volume: $4K. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.