Will legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?
If legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 5% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $244K. 24-hour volume: $2K. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Will legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?
Resolution Rules
If legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Clarification (11/14/25): Any extension that continues the enhanced premium tax credits past this year qualifies for a Yes resolution, regardless of modifications to the extension's structure. This would include extensions that reduce the subsidy amounts or modify eligibility criteria. An extension of the credits for any length of time beyond the current expiration date is encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
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