Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
If SpaceX launches a manned Starship mission to Mars by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the business category. Currently priced at 12% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $55K. 24-hour volume: $37. Market closes January 1, 2030.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
businessKalshiCloses Jan 1
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
12%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$37
Open interest$10K
Resolution Rules
If SpaceX launches a manned Starship mission to Mars by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
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