Will Tom Francis be the next James Bond?
If Tom Francis is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the entertainment category. Currently priced at 5% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $55K. 24-hour volume: $952. Market closes January 1, 2030.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
entertainmentKalshiCloses Jan 1
Will Tom Francis be the next James Bond?
5%
Yes
YES7¢
NO98¢
24h vol$952
Open interest$27K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If Tom Francis is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
Sign in to get a grounded three-sentence read of this market.