Forecastic

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 86,000 jobs?

If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 86,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 13% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $52K. Market closes April 30, 2027.

economicsKalshiCloses Apr 30

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 86,000 jobs?

13%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$0
Open interest$14K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 86,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

The Underlying is All Employees: Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing in Washington (NAICS 3364), measured in thousands of jobs. The officially published BLS annual-average figure will be used rather than independently averaging monthly values. Subsequent revisions after determination will not affect resolution.

Forecastic Analysis

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