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Will becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?

If a bill that eliminates capital gains taxes for at least some digital assets becomes law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 4% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $70K. Market closes January 1, 2027.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?

4%
Yes
YES4¢
NO98¢
24h vol$0
Open interest$25K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If a bill that eliminates capital gains taxes for at least some digital assets becomes law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

The law must explicitly eliminate or permanently repeal the capital gains tax liability for at least one clearly defined class or category of digital assets. “Digital assets” are defined as assets existing solely in digital form and recorded on a digital ledger (including, but not limited to, cryptocurrencies, tokens, and non-fungible tokens). Temporary, partial, or conditional eliminations (e.g., tax relief with an expiration date or reductions rather than full elimination) shall not be considered as meeting this criterion.

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Will becomes law before Jan 1, 2027? (4% odds) | Forecastic