Will there be an at least 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the weather category. Currently priced at 5% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $482K. 24-hour volume: $475. Market closes January 1, 2027.