Forecastic

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?

If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 46% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $228K. 24-hour volume: $33. Market closes January 20, 2029.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 20

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?

46%
Before Jan 20, 2029
YES—
NO—
24h vol$33
Open interest$48K
Resolution Rules

If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Forecastic Analysis
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency? (46% odds) | Forecastic