Forecastic

Will Mike Johnson no longer be Speaker of the House before 2026?

If the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House has resigned or otherwise left their leadership office after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 3% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $61K. Market closes November 3, 2026.

politicsKalshiCloses Tuesday

Will Mike Johnson no longer be Speaker of the House before 2026?

3%
Before Nov 3, 2026
YES2¢
NO100¢
24h vol$0
Open interest$22K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House has resigned or otherwise left their leadership office after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

An announcement that the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House will leave the position also resolves to Yes. If the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House leaves office solely because they have passed away, that outcome does not resolve to Yes.

Forecastic Analysis

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