Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before December 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 8% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $1.1M. 24-hour volume: $1K. Market closes December 1, 2026.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Dec 1
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?
8%
Yes
YES5¢
NO96¢
24h vol$1K
Open interest$510K
Resolution Rules
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before December 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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