Forecastic

Will Aaron Pierre be the next James Bond?

If Aaron Pierre is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the entertainment category. Currently priced at 5% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $43K. 24-hour volume: $86. Market closes January 1, 2030.

entertainmentKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will Aaron Pierre be the next James Bond?

5%
Yes
YES7¢
NO95¢
24h vol$86
Open interest$18K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Aaron Pierre is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.

Forecastic Analysis

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