How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
If SpaceX has more than 170 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the technology category. Currently priced at 4% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $87K. 24-hour volume: $537. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
technologyKalshiCloses Jan 1
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
4%
Above 170
YES4¢
NO97¢
24h vol$537
Open interest$31K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If SpaceX has more than 170 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
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