Forecastic

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the world category. Currently priced at 14% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $247K. 24-hour volume: $137. Market closes January 1, 2027.

worldPolymarketCloses Jan 1

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

14%
Yes
YES17¢
NO93¢
24h vol$137
Liquidity$474
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.

Forecastic Analysis

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