Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 92,500 MW?
If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 92,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 4% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $75K. 24-hour volume: $2K. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 92,500 MW?
Resolution Rules
If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 92,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution will use ERCOT’s integrated system load for a full hour. Instantaneous load readings will not be considered. ERCOT’s preliminary peak-demand figures may change during the settlement process. Resolution will use the applicable official settled peak-demand value published by ERCOT.
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