Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2027 meeting?
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 80% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $63K. Market closes July 28, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
economicsKalshiCloses Jul 28
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2027 meeting?
80%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$0
Open interest$59K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The outcomes are mutually exclusive: at most one can resolve to Yes. For example, a 50-basis-point hike resolves “Hike 25 bps” to Yes and “Hike 25 bps” to No. If the scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, “Fed maintains rate” resolves to Yes and all other outcomes resolve to No.
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