Forecastic

Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?

If ALL of the following occur before Jan 2027: GOP Nominee: Ken Paxton, General Election Winner: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 34% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $356K. 24-hour volume: $6K. Market closes January 3, 2028.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 3

Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?

34%
Yes
YES34¢
NO67¢
24h vol$6K
Open interest$222K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If ALL of the following occur before Jan 2027: GOP Nominee: Ken Paxton, General Election Winner: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: GOP Nominee (SENATEPARTYNOM), General Election Winner (SENATEPARTY). All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 2027.

Forecastic Analysis

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