Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season?
If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the weather category. Currently priced at 6% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $163K. 24-hour volume: $337. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season?
Resolution Rules
If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market encompasses the primary southeastern islands of the state of Hawaii. Those islands are: Niʻihau, Kauaʻi, Oʻahu, Molokaʻi, Lānaʻi, Kahoʻolawe, Maui, and the island of Hawai'i. It does not include the Midway Atoll, nor the Northwestern Islands, also known as the Leeward Hawaiian Islands.
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