Forecastic

Will Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX take a stake in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027?

If Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX has taken a stake of above 0% in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the business category. Currently priced at 3% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $121K. Market closes January 1, 2027.

businessKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX take a stake in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027?

3%
Yes
YES6¢
NO98¢
24h vol$0
Open interest$27K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX has taken a stake of above 0% in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified.

Forecastic Analysis

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