Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.
This is a polymarket prediction market in the world category. Currently priced at 69% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $60K. 24-hour volume: $355. Market closes November 4, 2026.
Updated Trade on Polymarket
worldPolymarketCloses Nov 4
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
69%
Yes▲ 1pp
YES67¢
NO35¢
24h vol$355
Liquidity$32K
Resolution Rules
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.
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