Forecastic

Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

If Sam Bankman-Fried has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 5% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $76K. Market closes January 1, 2027.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

5%
Yes
YES5¢
NO96¢
24h vol$0
Open interest$26K
Resolution Rules

If Sam Bankman-Fried has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Forecastic Analysis

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